- Runs
- Inspectable
- Beats a benchmark
- Changes a decision
OpenThe system beat a human analyst in a controlled bake-off and produced defensible picks. The consequence contract — one real capital behavior change — was never closed.
Accountability
Every work entry claims proof layers. This is where all of them are tracked in one place: proven, partial, and not-yet. Including the ones still open.
4 of 4 entries have not yet closed their "changes a decision" layer. No external reader or operator has confirmed acting differently because of the work. That is the honest current state, not a caveat.
OpenThe system beat a human analyst in a controlled bake-off and produced defensible picks. The consequence contract — one real capital behavior change — was never closed.
OpenInputs are probability distributions calibrated to observable context, not disclosed financials. Scenario A inputs are partly informed by what actually happened — the comparison is directional, not controlled. Model does not capture relational factors that drove the exit.
OpenThe narrative is grounded in real project work, but the piece does not yet name specific projects publicly or record an external changed decision.
OpenA changed reader decision has not yet been observed; the live privacy boundary also requires reconciliation.